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How to Practice Reactive, Proactive, and Predictive Risk Management in Your Safety Program

Posted by Tyler Britton on Sep 4, 2017 6:05:00 AM

What it Means to Practice Reactive, Proactive, and Predictive Risk Management

How to practice proactive, predictive, and reactive risk managementIf you want to practice reactive, proactive, and predictive risk management in your safety program, you first and foremost need to understand the difference between these types of risk management. Understanding what each type of risk management is does not involve just understanding the “conceptual” difference, but how each practice differs in the actual operational environment.

The most common misnomers around the types of risk management are:

  • Predictive/proactive are “better” forms of risk management than reactive;
  • There is little difference between predictive/proactive; and
  • Inability to clearly define what each type of risk management looks like.

Here is a table that very broadly defines the difference between each type of risk management:

 

Reactive Risk Mgmt

Proactive Risk Mgmt

Predictive Risk Mgmt

Definition

Actions in response to hazard/risk occurrence

Actions that address perceived hazard/risk occurrence before it actually occurs

Actions that attempt to forecast future, potential hazard/risk occurrence

Primary Management Activity

 

After hazard/risk occurrence, taking measures (i.e., corrective actions) to prevent re-occurrence

Before hazard/risk occurrence, creating control measures to prevent initial occurrence

Analyzing current operations to identify areas of potential concern in future, hypothetical situation

Primary Front Line Employee Activity

 

Once hazard occurs, take action to prevent risk occurrence, or if risk occurs, actions to mitigate damages

Hazard mechanisms and threats are identified before hazard occurrence (and hazard occurrence is mitigated)

N/A

 

 

The important distinction above in practicing reactive, proactive, and prediction risk management happens on a bureaucratic/management level, as well as an issue by issue operational environment level.

How to Practice Reactive Risk Management

Reactive risk management is the first type of risk management that an aviation SMS program will practice. We might call this “baseline” risk management because it’s the type of risk management that will be built first in safety programs. Here are the basic elements of practicing reactive risk management.

Resources you need to practice reactive risk management:

Top activities of reactive risk management:

  • Creating corrective actions;
  • Classifying safety issues as they are reported;
  • Root cause analysis (can be proactive too) on safety issues;
  • Investigation of safety issues; and
  • Risk mitigation training.

Outcomes and goals of reactive risk management:

  • Prevent risk occurrence after hazard occurrence;
  • Mitigate potential damages and consequences after risk occurrence; and
  • Prevent recurrence of a safety issue.

How to Practice Proactive Risk Management

Proactive risk management is a risk management practice that will begin to grow after aviation safety programs have enough historical data to begin to establish trends and precursors. In short, proactive risk management will be more relevant as an SMS program progresses in implementation. Here are the basic elements of practicing proactive risk management.

Resources you need to practice proactive risk management:

  • Historical data;
  • Sophisticated data analysis tools;
  • Well established key performance indicators or leading indicators;
  • Ability to quickly and efficiently create and monitor risk controls; and
  • Understanding main root causes, hazard mechanisms, and threats to SMS program.

Top activities of proactive risk management:

  • Creating risk controls around expected hazard occurrence;
  • Creating checklists and procedures;
  • Listing (identifying) and establishing top root causes;
  • Analysis of classification data in order to understand areas of exposure;
  • Emergency response drills; and
  • Identify growing threat from root causes before the hazard occurs.

Outcomes and goals of proactive risk management:

  • Prevent hazard occurrence that can reasonably be prevented;
  • Actively seek out exposure before it becomes a safety concern;
  • Increase identification technique and ability of hazard mechanisms; and
  • Understand underlying causes of safety behavior.

How to Practice Predictive Risk Management

Predicative risk management involves attempting to foresee safety concerns that have not occurred in the operational environment. Predictive risk management involves looking at operational processes and attempting to understand how those processes might fail in a given situation. You might call predictive risk management “hypothetical stress testing for SMS.”

Resources you need to practice predictive risk management:

  • Very strong operational processes;
  • Strong understanding of operational systems and ability to imagine them in a given situation;
  • Strong historical data in order to know how people and SMS responds to certain situations; and
  • Strong understanding of Human Factors in the operational environment.

Top activities of reactive risk management:

  • Safety cases;
  • Management of change; and
  • Hypothetical scenario analysis.

Outcomes and goals of reactive risk management:

  • Identify new hazards;
  • Assess performance limits of the safety management system; and
  • Review operational processes for areas of potential exposure.

Final Thought: Practicing All Types of Risk Management

The important takeaway when understanding all three types of risk management are:

  • Know when to use which type of risk management;
  • Understand in which types of risk management your organization is strong/weak;
  • Be clear about which type of risk management you are currently practicing; and
  • Establish clear, relevant activities for your aviation SMS program.

To increase your ability to practice risk management in your SMS program, you will find the following resource helpful:

Download List of Aviation Safety Articles

Topics: 2-Safety Risk Management

Site content provided by Northwest Data Solutions is meant for informational purposes only. Opinions presented here are not provided by any civil aviation authority or standards body.

 

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